SHADOW-REP-020: Supply Chain Bullwhip Shock

Date: 2026-01-09 Experiment: EXP-020 Status: SUCCESS Author: Swarm Lab AI

Executive Summary

This experiment modeled a multi-tier supply chain to detect the "Bullwhip Effect" (amplification of demand fluctuations).

Key Findings

• Phantom Demand: Detected regimes where orders were driven by panic rather than real consumption.
• Inventory Buffers: Optimized inventory placement to dampen the bullwhip waves.

Conclusion

The Swarm Engine can smooth supply chain volatility by distinguishing real demand from panic signals.